The Bergen County Homes Blog

Everyone wants to know and for good reason – real estate is not only your home, it’s a key part of the economy and it’s very local.  When real estate is good, people go out more, restaurants are busier, life just seems better.   You can feel it when you go downtown or talk to your neighbor.  So, how is the Tenafly market?

Tenafly real estate has stabilized almost completely.   Over all we are moving forward and have been recovering since late last year.

Today, September 18^th, 126 homes are for sale with 18 under contract for a 7 to 1 ratio which isn’t, frankly, great.  Things turn positive at 5 to 1 but autumn traditionally has an inventory buildup.  The question is whether this is of disastrous proportions and the answer is No.

We are on track to have the same number of sales as last year.  Taking it through September 15^th for both years, 2009 had 93 sales and 2010 had 94.  What about the tax credit?  This is the under $500,000 market which was 21% of all Tenafly sales in 2009 and is 20% now (with under contracts).

Average sales prices support positive change too.  Significantly higher, this demonstrates that the product mix in Tenafly tilted toward higher priced homes in 2010.  Through September 15^th the average sales price rose 5% in 2010 to $910,866 from $865,679 last year.   

The heart of Tenafly real estate is the $650-950,000 price range.   The year to year comparisons clearly show how this market has come back.  It picks up again substantially in the important $1-2 million range.  The upper tier looks quiet but it isn’t.  This is luxury new construction and financing for high end new homes was non-existent until recently.   Never doubt Tenafly’s East Hill.  Demand was always there even if financing wasn’t.   Take a drive up Tenafly’s East Hill.   You’ll be amazed at all the high end new construction.  The East Hill is most definitely back.

What about the future?  Clearly Tenafly real estate has stabilized.  The New Jersey MLS inventory of short sales and foreclosures runs at 10-15% so while not terrible, it’s certainly a factor.  This together with job uncertainty will keep pricing pretty even for the next year or two.  Tenafly may experience some appreciation but at anemic levels.  I remain convinced that significant upward movement won’t come before 2013.  For Tenafly, the storm is behind us; we’ll be on calm waters till then and that’s good.

Proximity to NYC,  great schools and a wonderful suburban lifestyle make buying a home in Bergen County, to quote Martha Stewart, a “good thing.”  Because Bergen County homes offer these advantages, buyers come here no matter the economy or housing market.  The Bergen County real estate market regularly outperforms all other counties in New Jersey and this is true today.

Taking a look at the market through May, we are significantly ahead of where we were last year.  In 2009 there were 2,011 sales and this year 2,536 for a gain of 525 units and a 26% improvement.  The average sales price decreased by 3% because more of the homes sold this year were less expensive than in 2009 but they sold quicker (5% fewer days on the market) and that’s positive.

These figures are from the New Jersey Multiple Listing Service and I have their graph here for you.

When June numbers are in, I expect this trend to continue.  The question is how much of this is due to the tax credit and to the demanding terms of jumbo loans.  With formidable down payment requirements, the jumbo loan has really put a damper on the market for more expensive houses along with the negative economy.  Very recently these demands have been relaxed and so we’ve seen a real pick up in such places as Englewood Cliffs, Franklin Lakes, Saddle River and Tenafly.   Based on both the NJMLS data and the activity we’re seeing in all of our offices, there is a significant improvement in the demand for Bergen County real estate so far this year.  I’ll continue to keep you updated throughout the year.

You don’t have to own a home in Tenafly to know what’s happening there – all you have to do is to go to the Borough of Tenafly website where you’ll discover that Tenafly is doing a revaluation right now.

Let’s say you’re thinking of buying a home in Englewood.  You see that many of the homes there are from the early 20th century so you’d like to know about the city’s history.  Just go to the City of Englewood website where you’ll find the Our History page that takes you from Englewood’s earliest days to the present.

The River Vale website is the place to go for local events – it’s always on their home page.   Park Ridge and Westwood does this too along with many other local communities.  You may find important changes on a town’s home page – this year Westwood began registering it’s various Recreation Department activities online; the announcement is on it’s home page right now.

Town websites are also a great help when you need a form.  For example, if you want to put up a fence on your property and you live in Cresskill, the fence permit form can be downloaded from the Cresskill Boro website Some towns like Tenafly actually have a step by step guide for you when it comes to getting a permit

Many community sites have portions of their building codes right on their websites.  Old Tappan has their entire borough code on line.

You may be amazed at how much information can be found on a town website.  If you’re thinking of buying a home or if you’re a Bergen County resident now, check out the borough website.  You’ll be glad you did.

One of the truly great aspects of buying a Tenafly home is the wonderful shopping district Tenafly residents enjoy.  Although Bergen County is well known for the major shopping malls that line Route 4 and Route 17 in Hackensack and Paramus, the value of a local downtown where merchants and shopkeepers know you by first name is cherished here.

I remember how my mother took all of us children to a very special book store in Hackensack.  Womrath’s was the place where you could browse for hours until you found the perfect book.  If you needed help, Mr. Kutik and his staff would always find what you needed.  My mother would reward us with a trip to Womrath’s.  Today Mr. Kutik’s son Bob has maintained that tradition.

Bob Kutik owns and operates Womrath’s in Tenafly with that same wonderful customer service but he’s also moved into the 21st century – Womrath’s has a website, email newsletter and a page on Facebook.  It remains a treasure for Bergen County book lovers and is another reason why buying a Tenafly home brings you more than living space – it also brings you a great suburban lifestyle.

Small bookstores are rare these days but Tenafly has one of the very best in Womrath\’s.

As incredible as it may seem, Tenafly homes are selling in greater numbers this year than they did in 2008.  As of tonight, 125 Tenafly homes have closed so far this year.   In 2008, 117 Tenafly homes sold so we’re 8 sales ahead of last year with more to come.  Currently there are 23 Tenafly homes under contract so it’s reasonable to expect 132 Tenafly home sales in 2009.  This would represent a stunning 13% increase at a time when most other towns in Bergen County are having fewer sales.

The New Jersey MLS data shows that Bergen County has experienced a 13% price depreciation this year; Tenafly homes have depreciated along with the County but at far less – only 6%.   So here too, Tenafly homes have performed much better than Bergen County’s real estate market in general.

Take a look at this New Jersey MLS chart of Tenafly homes that sold in 2008 and so far in 2009.  The picture it paints is simple – demand for Tenafly homes has increased substantially this year:

When people decide to buy a home they naturally start to look at the real estate market, do some number crunching and find statistics which explain the market trends. Lately, a statistic on homes that’s been quite popular is the absorption rate.

Absorption rates simply put tell you how long it will take to sell off the existing inventory of homes. This shows you how properties are selling; it’s measured in months as in how many months it will take to sell all the homes for sale. Understanding market activity is important but I think that looking at absorption rates this early in the year can be misleading.

No matter the economy, the housing market has a unique rhythm of it’s own. Most homes for sale go on the market during the early part of the year and are sold during the summer so statistics for the first few months of the year that track the relationship between sales and available inventory can be tilted in the wrong direction. In fact, absorption rates at this point can be very confusing if you look at the report appraisers use when they do an appraisal on a house. This is the 1004MC Report.

Let’s look at Tenafly, NJ. If you go back 12 months from today, the Tenafly real estate market for homes really looks weird. For example, take a look at the number of Active Listings – it looks terrible doesn’t it? Well, what would you expect for this time of year? It’s always larger now because more houses are on the market between March and June. At the same time, how long a home is on the market for sale is currently half what it was previously. That is extremely important. In truth, Tenafly houses are selling very well. Tenafly homes are always in strong demand. The New Jersey MLS 1004MC Appraisal Report for Tenafly can be found at tenafly-1004mc-report