The Bergen County Homes Blog

While national foreclosure rates rose 15% during the first half of 2009, in New Jersey foreclosures are dropping. In fact, NJ foreclosures are down by 30% for the first six months of 2009 compared to the same period in 2008 according to Realty Trac. In May, the New Jersey Judiciary announced foreclosure activity for the first 4 months of 2009 was down by 20%. These figures certainly point to an improving housing market in New Jersey.

A lot of credit is being given to the programs New Jersey brought out in January to help homeowners avoid foreclosure. A special foreclosure mediation website was put up just to help owners avoid foreclosure by the State with a toll free hotline. The Star Ledger reported that although the number of homeowners helped has been small, the public awareness brought about by these programs has had a significant impact. Many homeowners took stock of their situation and acted to avoid foreclosure.

Another aid has been historically low interest rates which allowed people to refinance their mortgage into a more affordable loan. Supporting this is the fact that the New Jersey housing market hasn’t depreciated as badly as elsehwere; our house values have performed better than national averages.

According to Jeff Otteau, the renowned analyst of the New Jersey real estate market, this makes quite a difference. “The reason that borrowers walk away and mail in the keys is because not only are they having a hard time making their payments, but their houses are worth less than their mortgage balance,” Otteau said.

Bergen County foreclosure rates, as reported in The Record on July 16th, are 1/206 while New Jersey is 1/146 and the US is 1/84. As usual, Bergen County outperforms the general real estate market.

While we can’t predict the future, it’s also true that a 30% drop in foreclosures will certainly stimulate consumer confidence in NJ housing and that is huge. For Bergen County homes, with it’s consistently superior performance, this is even more the case.

There has been a noticeable increase in the number of people looking at homes over the past two weeks.  We’re seeing more buyers coming out on Sundays to our open houses, more calls into our offices and more web responses to our internet postings.   The Bergen County real estate market has been very very busy.

At the same time, the real estate inventory is growing daily as more and more people are putting their homes on the market for sale now that we’re safely past the snow season.  Most homehomes owners do not want to sell their home during the winter weather so having the number of homes for sale grow significantly at winter’s end is quite normal.

The reason for home buyer activity is improved market conditions.  Prices are down substantially from 2004 (by 20 to 25% in most areas), mortgage rates tumbled over the past 2 weeks and one of the most respected analysts of New Jersey real estate,  Jeffrey Otteau, announced last week that New Jersey real estate will depreciate another 9% in 2009 and then stay at that level in 2010 as the real estate market stabilizes.  For many home buyers, this combination of factors made buying a home now a great idea. 

It will be interesting to see if this pick up in activity continues and for how long.  I have a funny feeling that the “smart money” is buying a home now.  Only a lucky person picks the market bottom but I must say that we’ve got to be pretty close to it now.